Banking Sector – Easing Monetary Policy to Fuel Sector Growth Through 2025-2026

Posted:  Jul 16, 2025

  • We estimate system-wide credit growth to reach 17–18% in 2025F.
  • Net interest margin is projected to remain stable relative to 1Q25, but still below 2024 levels, as lending rates are expected to stay low despite a modest decline in cost of funds in 2H25.
  • Net profit of listed banks under coverage is forecast to grow 13.4% YoY (previous forecast: 17.7% YoY), based on the assumption that banks will maintain a cautious provisioning policy in line with 2024.
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